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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Dec 18 2018 10:21 pm


 

Day 1

D4Friday Dec 21 2018 - Saturday Dec 22 2018 D7Monday Dec 24 2018 - Tuesday Dec 25 2018
D5Saturday Dec 22 2018 - Sunday Dec 23 2018 D8Tuesday Dec 25 2018 - Wednesday Dec 26 2018
D6Sunday Dec 23 2018 - Monday Dec 24 2018 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
        

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Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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