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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Dec 15 2017 5:58 pm


 

Day 1

D4Monday Dec 18 2017 - Tuesday Dec 19 2017 D7Thursday Dec 21 2017 - Friday Dec 22 2017
D5Tuesday Dec 19 2017 - Wednesday Dec 20 2017 D8Friday Dec 22 2017 - Saturday Dec 23 2017
D6Wednesday Dec 20 2017 - Thursday Dec 21 2017 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
        

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Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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